Post sports gambling editor/producer Erich Richter is in his first season in the Bettor’s Guide.
Kansas City Chiefs (-7) over DENVER BRONCOS
For all the hate the Chiefs get for not covering spreads, they have covered in five of seven games in 2023.
They are always going to be favorites at this rate, but seven points is just right the number to back against the Broncos.
Denver is the fourth-worst team in the NFL in terms of DVOA, allows the most yards per play (6.5) and appears to be banged up heading into the week.
Injuries or not, the Chiefs opened at 9.5 and have been bet down to seven, where we hit push territory if the slaughter ends at just a touchdown.
Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Co. should dominate here at Mile High.
Los Angeles Rams (+6.5) over DALLAS COWBOYS
Sean McVay added another child to his roster this week and looks to show the Cowboys who Daddy is this weekend in Jerry World.
Since Trevon Diggs went out, the Cowboys are allowing 5.2 yards per play, which is about the middle of the pack in the NFL. That’s a far cry from when they had the No. 1 defense in DVOA through four weeks.
Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua have shown themselves to be elite route runners and constantly get open.
Betting on the NFL?
For a team that relies heavily on the defense, the Cowboys are doing a poor job of slowing teams down, and the quarterbacking edge should be with Los Angeles.
Matthew Stafford is ranked seventh at his position, whereas Dak Prescott is all the way down at 14.
Take the points and look for a potential upset.
Last week: 1-1. Falcons (W); Browns (L).
2023 season: 6-7-1.